Todays Top Stories

Editor: @PhoenixxDown

Blame Mercury Retrograde (Definitely Not Yourself)

That’s our (tongue in cheek) advice for tomorrow as Mercury Retrograde kicks off, and runs through April 7.

We touched on it briefly in recent XO Weekly Spaces and in Issue #134 of this newsletter, where we spoke about how moon cycles might affect trading.

But what exactly is it? Mercury Retrograde happens three to four times a year, usually lasting about three weeks. Right now, we’re in the pre-shadow phase (since March 1), with the full retrograde hitting tomorrow.

Way back in 1700 BCE, the Babylonians noticed Mercury’s odd movements and linked it to Nabu, their fate-writing god. The Greeks later connected it to Hermes, the messenger god, and believed its “backwards” motion messed with messages and plans.

By the Middle Ages, astrologers were warning that it could ruin deals, scramble communication, or mess up travel. These days, we blame Mercury retrograde for everything from missed flights to tech glitches to our shitcoins getting nuked.

See, a free pass for blaming anything other than yourself! Keep it within reason though, don’t be do anything that’ll get you on the 6 o’ clock news. “Officer it’s Mercury Retrograde” won’t stand up great, but please video the reaction if you try that one out.

How Traders See It

Some traders believe Mercury retrograde throws markets off. Posts on X this week are already pointing to Bitcoin’s drop from $92K, blaming it on the pre-shadow phase. Of course, technically it pertains to the endless tariff wars ongoing, but has this been influenced in some way by the chaos of Mercury Retrograde?

In fact, plenty have been calling March a chaotic month in part because of it:

I also spoke with Null recently to get his take on it. Here’s what he had to say:

“I look at planetary/astrology cycles as well as moon cycles—just not as much, since the dates work better for my analysis. I factor in moon phases more than the planetary stuff. Though there’s a big 84-year one (Uranus cycle into Gemini) that marks war periods—we’re entering that now, I think.”

He added:

“The 84-year cycle is how long Uranus takes to orbit the Sun. It’s interesting to pair that with the Fourth Turning, the 18-year real estate cycle, the 18-year lunar nodal cycle, and the 55–60 year commodity cycle—all together, it’s a recipe for a major bear market.”

So, let’s see what happens tomorrow. Null touched on something that’s been sitting in the back of all our minds: the bear market’s coming. But what really caught my ear was that bit about a “war period.”

Either way, both are good reasons to make the most of whatever’s left of this bull market—and set yourself up right, just in case global conflict ramps up even more, as if we haven’t had enough of that already since 2020.

And just to finish on a somewhat related note, the blood red full moon has now passed, so are we good now!? Erin appears positive:

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Todays Markets

Ordinals

This is what we like to see! Heading into the weekend with (almost) a full set of green in the top 10.

Quantum Cats has clawed back all of yesterday’s losses and now ranks 3rd in volume across all chains. The other Orange Chips, OMB, Bitcoin Puppets, and NodeMonkes, are also moving along nicely. Let’s hope this momentum actually sticks this time.

O.P.I.U.M is the only one in the red today, coming in at 5th with 13 sales. Once again, it’s close to being flipped by Bitcoin Puppets. When will these get the respect they deserve? (Yes, I’m biased.)

At the bottom end, it’s looking solid too—Based Angels is up 43% on the day, and RSIC Miners are putting in a respectable 17%.

Ok, floor price moves aren’t massive, but something feels different. Sentiment seems better… or maybe we’re just so beaten down that even a small pump feels euphoric now. Either way, enjoy it, even if it only lasts until tomorrow.

Runes (Bitcoin Memecoins)

Let’s start with OdinFun today after the news of Taproot Wizards investing in the platform. Huge congrats to Bob Bodily, he’s been a revelation when it comes to solving so many of the problems Runes faced. Seriously well deserved.

$BITCAT continues its absurd rise with another 72% gain since yesterday. It’s now halfway to OdinDog’s market cap!

If this keeps up, there’s going to be talk of a flippening—and that might just be my signal to go heavy on the Dog. Even now, it’s looking seriously tempting with all the potential catalysts and news coming out.

And lo and behold, even the OG Runes had a solid day!

• $PUPS up 23%

• $BILLY up 24%

• $GIZMO—finally(!)—catches a bid, up 39%

$MIM surprisingly struggles today, but maybe that gets some love tomorrow.

Looks like I gave $RSIC the ol’ kiss of death by calling it yesterday.

“$RSIC is a buy here (nfa)”

Let’s revisit tomorrow and see if it happens again. Results will determine if a call is ever made in this section again.

Elsewhere, $CYPHER is up 29% and looks ready to break $1M market cap again.

Looking at some of these OG Runes like $CYPHER and $SAIKO (sitting in 7th), and comparing their market caps to some lesser-known OdinFun tokens… the OG microcaps look like they’ve got some seriously juicy risk/reward setups.

Surely it’s only a matter of time before they catch up, right?

Todays Opportunities

Giveaways

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